source: Backup NB/Talks/MEMPHYSetal/CERN-Frejus/TS-29sept06/CERN-MEMPHYS.aux

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49\newlabel{sec:analysis}{{2}{3}}
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52\@writefile{lot}{\contentsline {table}{\numberline {2}{\ignorespaces Number of events for appearance and disappearance signals and backgrounds for the $\beta $B, SPL, and T2HK experiments as defined in Tab.\nobreakspace  {}\G@refundefinedtrue \text  {\normalfont  \bfseries  ??}\GenericWarning  {               }{LaTeX Warning: Reference `tab:setups' on page 4 undefined}. For the appearance signals the event numbers are given for several values of $\ensuremath  {\qopname  \relax o{sin}^22\theta _{13}}$ and $\ensuremath  {\delta _{\rm  CP}}= 0$ and $\pi /2$. The background as well as the disappearance event numbers correspond to $\theta _{13}=0$. For the other oscillation parameters the values of Eq.\nobreakspace  {}(\G@refundefinedtrue \text  {\normalfont  \bfseries  ??}\GenericWarning  {               }{LaTeX Warning: Reference `eq:default-params' on page 4 undefined}) are used.}}{4}}
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79\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {section}{\numberline {3}The CERN--MEMPHYS experiments}{5}}
80\newlabel{sec:experiments}{{3}{5}}
81\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {3.1}The MEMPHYS detector}{5}}
82\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {3.2}The $\gamma = 100\times 100$ baseline Beta Beam}{5}}
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99\newlabel{fig:QE-Energy}{{2}{7}}
100\@writefile{lot}{\contentsline {table}{\numberline {3}{\ignorespaces  Events for the $\beta $B\ in a 4400\nobreakspace  {}kt\nobreakspace  {}yr exposure. \ensuremath  {\nu _{\mu }\ }(\ensuremath  {\overline  {\nu }_{\mu }}) CC events are computed assuming full oscillations ($P_{\nu _e\to \nu _\mu } = 1$), and pion backgrounds are computed from \ensuremath  {\nu _{e}}(\ensuremath  {\overline  {\nu }_{e}}) CC+NC events. In the rows we give the number events generated within the fiducial volume (``Generated ev.''), after muon particle identification (``Particle ID''), and after applying a further identification requiring the detection of the Michel electron (``Decay''). }}{7}}
101\newlabel{tab:sigbck}{{3}{7}}
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113\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {3.3}The $3.5$-GeV SPL Super Beam}{8}}
114\@writefile{lof}{\contentsline {figure}{\numberline {3}{\ignorespaces  Neutrino fluxes, at $130$\nobreakspace  {}km from the target with the horns focusing the positive particles (top panel) or the negative particles (bottom panel). The fluxes are computed for a SPL proton beam of $3.5$\nobreakspace  {}GeV (4\nobreakspace  {}MW), a decay tunnel with a length of $40$\nobreakspace  {}m and a radius of $2$\nobreakspace  {}m.}}{9}}
115\newlabel{fig:fluxSPLContrib}{{3}{9}}
116\@writefile{lof}{\contentsline {figure}{\numberline {4}{\ignorespaces  Comparison of the fluxes from SPL and $\beta $B.}}{9}}
117\newlabel{fig:fluxComparison}{{4}{9}}
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122\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {3.4}The atmospheric neutrino analysis}{10}}
123\newlabel{sec:atm-details}{{3.4}{10}}
124\newlabel{eq:contained}{{2}{10}}
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142\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {section}{\numberline {4}Degeneracies}{12}}
143\newlabel{sec:degeneracies}{{4}{12}}
144\@writefile{lof}{\contentsline {figure}{\numberline {5}{\ignorespaces Allowed regions in $\qopname  \relax o{sin}^22\theta _{13}$ and $\delta _\mathrm  {CP}$ for LBL data alone (contour lines) and LBL+ATM data combined (colored regions). $\mathrm  {H^{tr/wr} (O^{tr/wr})}$ refers to solutions with the true/wrong mass hierarchy (octant of $\theta _{23}$). The true parameter values are $\delta _\mathrm  {CP} = -0.85 \pi $, $\qopname  \relax o{sin}^22\theta _{13} = 0.03$, $\qopname  \relax o{sin}^2\theta _{23} = 0.6$, and the values from Eq.\nobreakspace  {}(\G@refundefinedtrue \text  {\normalfont  \bfseries  ??}\GenericWarning  {               }{LaTeX Warning: Reference `eq:default-params' on page 13 undefined}) for the other parameters.}}{13}}
145\newlabel{fig:degeneracies}{{5}{13}}
146\@writefile{lof}{\contentsline {figure}{\numberline {6}{\ignorespaces Resolving degeneracies in SPL by successively using the appearance rate measurement, disappearance channel rate and spectrum, spectral information in the appearance channel, and atmospheric neutrinos. Allowed regions in $\qopname  \relax o{sin}^22\theta _{13}$ and $\delta _\mathrm  {CP}$ are shown at 95\%\nobreakspace  {}CL, and $\mathrm  {H^{tr/wr} (O^{tr/wr})}$ refers to solutions with the true/wrong mass hierarchy (octant of $\theta _{23}$). The true parameter values are $\delta _\mathrm  {CP} = -0.85 \pi $, $\qopname  \relax o{sin}^22\theta _{13} = 0.03$, $\qopname  \relax o{sin}^2\theta _{23} = 0.6$, and the values from Eq.\nobreakspace  {}(\G@refundefinedtrue \text  {\normalfont  \bfseries  ??}\GenericWarning  {               }{LaTeX Warning: Reference `eq:default-params' on page 13 undefined}) for the other parameters.}}{13}}
147\newlabel{fig:degeneracies_SPL}{{6}{13}}
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150\@writefile{lof}{\contentsline {figure}{\numberline {7}{\ignorespaces Allowed regions in $\qopname  \relax o{sin}^22\theta _{13}$ and $\delta _\mathrm  {CP}$ for 5\nobreakspace  {}years data (neutrinos only) from $\beta $B, SPL, and the combination. $\mathrm  {H^{tr/wr} (O^{tr/wr})}$ refers to solutions with the true/wrong mass hierarchy (octant of $\theta _{23}$). For the colored regions in the left panel also 5\nobreakspace  {}years of atmospheric data are included; the solution with the wrong hierarchy has $\Delta \chi ^2 = 4$. The true parameter values are $\delta _\mathrm  {CP} = -0.85 \pi $, $\qopname  \relax o{sin}^22\theta _{13} = 0.03$, $\qopname  \relax o{sin}^2\theta _{23} = 0.6$, and the values from Eq.\nobreakspace  {}(\G@refundefinedtrue \text  {\normalfont  \bfseries  ??}\GenericWarning  {               }{LaTeX Warning: Reference `eq:default-params' on page 14 undefined}) for the other parameters. For the $\beta $B\ only analysis (middle panel) an external accuracy of 2\% (3\%) for $|\Delta m^2_{31}|$ ($\theta _{23}$) has been assumed, whereas for the left and right panel the default value of 10\% has been used.}}{14}}
151\newlabel{fig:degeneracies_5yrs}{{7}{14}}
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159\@writefile{lot}{\contentsline {table}{\numberline {4}{\ignorespaces Accuracies at $3\sigma $ on the atmospheric parameters $|\Delta m^2_{31}|$ and $\qopname  \relax o{sin}^2\theta _{23}$ for 5 years of neutrino data from T2K-I, SPL, and T2HK for the two test points shown in Fig.\nobreakspace  {}\G@refundefinedtrue \text  {\normalfont  \bfseries  ??}\GenericWarning  {               }{LaTeX Warning: Reference `fig:atm-params' on page 15 undefined} ($\theta ^\mathrm  {true}_{13} = 0$). The accuracy for a parameter $x$ is defined as $(x^\mathrm  {upper} - x^\mathrm  {lower})/(2 x^\mathrm  {true})$, where $x^\mathrm  {upper}$ ($x^\mathrm  {lower}$) is the upper (lower) bound at 3$\sigma $ for 1\nobreakspace  {}d.o.f.\ obtained by projecting the contour $\Delta \chi ^2 = 9$ onto the $x$-axis. For the accuracies for test point\nobreakspace  {}2 the octant degenerate solution is neglected.}}{15}}
160\newlabel{tab:atm-params}{{4}{15}}
161\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {section}{\numberline {5}Physics potential}{15}}
162\newlabel{sec:sensitivities}{{5}{15}}
163\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {5.1}Sensitivity to the atmospheric parameters}{15}}
164\newlabel{sec:atm}{{5.1}{15}}
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168\@writefile{lof}{\contentsline {figure}{\numberline {8}{\ignorespaces  Allowed regions of $\Delta m^2_{31}$ and $\qopname  \relax o{sin}^2\theta _{23}$ at 99\%\nobreakspace  {}CL (2 d.o.f.) after 5\nobreakspace  {}yrs of neutrino data taking for SPL, T2K phase\nobreakspace  {}I, T2HK, and the combination of SPL with 5\nobreakspace  {}yrs of atmospheric neutrino data in the MEMPHYS detector. For the true parameter values we use $\Delta m^2_{31} = 2.2\tmspace  +\thinmuskip {.1667em} (2.6) \times 10^{-3}\nobreakspace  {}\mathrm  {eV}^2$ and $\qopname  \relax o{sin}^2\theta _{23} = 0.5 \tmspace  +\thinmuskip {.1667em} (0.37)$ for the test point 1 (2), and $\theta _{13} = 0$ and the solar parameters as given in Eq.\nobreakspace  {}(\G@refundefinedtrue \text  {\normalfont  \bfseries  ??}\GenericWarning  {               }{LaTeX Warning: Reference `eq:default-params' on page 16 undefined}). The shaded region corresponds to the 99\%\nobreakspace  {}CL region from present SK and K2K data\nobreakspace  {}\cite  {Maltoni:2004ei}.}}{16}}
169\newlabel{fig:atm-params}{{8}{16}}
170\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {5.2}The $\theta _{13}$ discovery potential}{16}}
171\newlabel{sec:th13}{{5.2}{16}}
172\@writefile{lof}{\contentsline {figure}{\numberline {9}{\ignorespaces $3\sigma $ discovery sensitivity to $\ensuremath  {\qopname  \relax o{sin}^22\theta _{13}}$ for $\beta $B, SPL, and T2HK as a function of the true value of \ensuremath  {\delta _{\rm  CP}}\ (left panel) and as a function of the fraction of all possible values of \ensuremath  {\delta _{\rm  CP}}\ (right panel). The width of the bands corresponds to values for the systematical errors between 2\% and 5\%. The black curves correspond to the combination of $\beta $B\ and SPL with 10\nobreakspace  {}yrs of total data taking each for a systematical error of 2\%, and the dashed curves show the sensitivity of the $\beta $B\ when the number of ion decays/yr are reduced by a factor of two with respect to the values given in Tab.\nobreakspace  {}\G@refundefinedtrue \text  {\normalfont  \bfseries  ??}\GenericWarning  {               }{LaTeX Warning: Reference `tab:setups' on page 17 undefined}.}}{17}}
173\newlabel{fig:th13}{{9}{17}}
174\@writefile{lof}{\contentsline {figure}{\numberline {10}{\ignorespaces  $3\sigma $ discovery sensitivity to $\ensuremath  {\qopname  \relax o{sin}^22\theta _{13}}$ for the SPL as a function of the true value of \ensuremath  {\delta _{\rm  CP}}\ for $\qopname  \relax o{sin}^2\theta _{23}^\mathrm  {true} = 0.6$ and true values for the other parameters as given in Eq.\nobreakspace  {}(\G@refundefinedtrue \text  {\normalfont  \bfseries  ??}\GenericWarning  {               }{LaTeX Warning: Reference `eq:default-params' on page 18 undefined}).}}{18}}
175\newlabel{fig:SPLTheta13Disco}{{10}{18}}
176\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {5.3}Sensitivity to CP violation}{18}}
177\newlabel{sec:CPV}{{5.3}{18}}
178\@writefile{lof}{\contentsline {figure}{\numberline {11}{\ignorespaces CPV discovery potential for $\beta $B, SPL, and T2HK: For parameter values inside the ellipse-shaped curves CP conserving values of \ensuremath  {\delta _{\rm  CP}}\ can be excluded at $3\sigma $ $(\Delta \chi ^2>9)$. The width of the bands corresponds to values for the systematical errors from 2\% to 5\%. The dashed curves show the sensitivity of the $\beta $B\ when the number of ion decays/yr are reduced by a factor of two with respect to the values given in Tab.\nobreakspace  {}\G@refundefinedtrue \text  {\normalfont  \bfseries  ??}\GenericWarning  {               }{LaTeX Warning: Reference `tab:setups' on page 19 undefined} for 2\% systematics.}}{19}}
179\newlabel{fig:CPV}{{11}{19}}
180\@writefile{lof}{\contentsline {figure}{\numberline {12}{\ignorespaces Impact of total exposure and systematical errors on the CPV discovery potential of $\beta $B, SPL, and T2HK. We show the smallest true value of $\ensuremath  {\qopname  \relax o{sin}^22\theta _{13}}$ for which $\ensuremath  {\delta _{\rm  CP}}= \pi /2$ can be distinguished from $\ensuremath  {\delta _{\rm  CP}}= 0$ or $\ensuremath  {\delta _{\rm  CP}}= \pi $ at $3\sigma $ $(\Delta \chi ^2>9)$ as a function of the exposure in kt\nobreakspace  {}yrs (left) and as a function of the systematical error on the background $\sigma _\mathrm  {bkgr}$ (right). The widths of the curves in the left panel corresponds to values of $\sigma _\mathrm  {bkgr}$ from 2\% to 5\%. The thin solid curves in the left panel corresponds to no systematical errors. The right plot is calculated for the standard exposure of 4400\nobreakspace  {}kt\nobreakspace  {}yrs. No systematical error on the signal has been assumed. }}{20}}
181\newlabel{fig:systematics}{{12}{20}}
182\citation{Ishitsuka:2005qi}
183\@writefile{lof}{\contentsline {figure}{\numberline {13}{\ignorespaces Impact of degeneracies on the CPV discovery potential for the $\beta $B. We show the sensitivity to CPV at $3\sigma $ $(\Delta \chi ^2>9)$ computed for 4 different combinations of the true values of the hierarchy (NH or IH) and $\theta _{23}$ ($\qopname  \relax o{sin}^2\theta _{23} = 0.4$ or $0.6$). Dashed curves are computed neglecting degeneracies in the fit.}}{21}}
184\newlabel{fig:deltacp}{{13}{21}}
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195\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {section}{\numberline {6}Synergies provided by the CERN--MEMPHYS facilities}{22}}
196\newlabel{sec:synergies}{{6}{22}}
197\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {6.1}Combining Beta Beam and Super Beam}{22}}
198\newlabel{sec:synergies-beams}{{6.1}{22}}
199\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {subsection}{\numberline {6.2}Resolving degeneracies with atmospheric neutrinos}{22}}
200\newlabel{sec:atmospherics}{{6.2}{22}}
201\@writefile{lof}{\contentsline {figure}{\numberline {14}{\ignorespaces Discovery potential of a finite value of $\ensuremath  {\qopname  \relax o{sin}^22\theta _{13}}$ at $3\sigma $ $(\Delta \chi ^2>9)$ for 5\nobreakspace  {}yrs neutrino data from $\beta $B, SPL, and the combination of $\beta $B\ + SPL compared to 10\nobreakspace  {}yrs data from T2HK (2\nobreakspace  {}yrs neutrinos + 8\nobreakspace  {}yrs antineutrinos). }}{23}}
202\newlabel{fig:th13-5yrs}{{14}{23}}
203\@writefile{lof}{\contentsline {figure}{\numberline {15}{\ignorespaces Sensitivity to CPV at $3\sigma $ $(\Delta \chi ^2>9)$ for combining 5\nobreakspace  {}yrs neutrino data from $\beta $B\ and SPL compared to 10\nobreakspace  {}yrs data from T2HK (2\nobreakspace  {}yrs neutrinos + 8\nobreakspace  {}yrs antineutrinos). }}{23}}
204\newlabel{fig:CP-5yrs}{{15}{23}}
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211\@writefile{lof}{\contentsline {figure}{\numberline {16}{\ignorespaces Sensitivity to the mass hierarchy at $2\sigma $ $(\Delta \chi ^2 = 4)$ as a function of the true values of $\qopname  \relax o{sin}^22\theta _{13}$ and $\delta _\mathrm  {CP}$ (left), and the fraction of true values of $\ensuremath  {\delta _{\rm  CP}}$ (right). The solid curves are the sensitivities from the combination of long-baseline and atmospheric neutrino data, the dashed curves correspond to long-baseline data only. For comparison we show in the right panel also the sensitivities of NO$\nu $A and NO$\nu $A+T2K extracted from Fig.\nobreakspace  {}13.14 of Ref.\nobreakspace  {}\cite  {Ayres:2004js}. For the curve labeled ``NO$\nu $A (p.dr.)+T2K@4\nobreakspace  {}MW'' a proton driver has been assumed for NO$\nu $A and the T2K beam has been up-graded to 4\nobreakspace  {}MW, see Ref.\nobreakspace  {}\cite  {Ayres:2004js} for details.}}{24}}
212\newlabel{fig:hierarchy}{{16}{24}}
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225\@writefile{lof}{\contentsline {figure}{\numberline {17}{\ignorespaces $\Delta \chi ^2$ of the solution with the wrong octant of $\theta _{23}$ as a function of the true value of $\qopname  \relax o{sin}^2\theta _{23}$. We have assumed a true value of $\theta _{13} = 0$.}}{26}}
226\newlabel{fig:octant}{{17}{26}}
227\@writefile{toc}{\contentsline {section}{\numberline {7}Summary}{26}}
228\newlabel{sec:conclusions}{{7}{26}}
229\citation{ISSpage}
230\bibcite{solar}{1}
231\bibcite{Fukuda:1998mi}{2}
232\bibcite{Ashie:2005ik}{3}
233\bibcite{Araki:2004mb}{4}
234\bibcite{Aliu:2004sq}{5}
235\bibcite{MINOS}{6}
236\bibcite{OPERA}{7}
237\bibcite{CNGS}{8}
238\bibcite{LSND}{9}
239\bibcite{MINIBOONE}{10}
240\bibcite{FOGLILISI05}{11}
241\bibcite{Maltoni:2004ei}{12}
242\bibcite{PMNS}{13}
243\bibcite{CHOOZ}{14}
244\bibcite{Wpaper}{15}
245\bibcite{T2K}{16}
246\bibcite{Ayres:2004js}{17}
247\bibcite{Huber:2003pm}{18}
248\bibcite{Albrow:2005kw}{19}
249\bibcite{SPL}{20}
250\bibcite{BNLHS}{21}
251\bibcite{zucchelli}{22}
252\bibcite{Albright:2004iw}{23}
253\bibcite{Blondel:2004ae}{24}
254\bibcite{Campagne:2004wt}{25}
255\bibcite{Mezzetto:2003ub}{26}
256\bibcite{memphys}{27}
257\bibcite{UNO}{28}
258\bibcite{Nakamura:2003hk}{29}
259\bibcite{Huber:2005ep}{30}
260\bibcite{Globes}{31}
261\bibcite{Huber:2002mx}{32}
262\bibcite{Nuance}{33}
263\bibcite{ISSpage}{34}
264\bibcite{MyNufact04}{35}
265\bibcite{Donini:2004hu}{36}
266\bibcite{JJHigh2}{37}
267\bibcite{LindnerBB}{38}
268\bibcite{JJHigh1}{39}
269\bibcite{Terranova}{40}
270\bibcite{BB-Reviews}{41}
271\bibcite{Volpe}{42}
272\bibcite{Lindroos}{43}
273\bibcite{Eurisol}{44}
274\bibcite{Lindroos-Optimization}{45}
275\bibcite{MezzettoNuFact05}{46}
276\bibcite{Neugen}{47}
277\bibcite{FLUKA}{48}
278\bibcite{GEANT}{49}
279\bibcite{HARP-MINERVA}{50}
280\bibcite{Mezzetto:2003mm}{51}
281\bibcite{Honda:2004yz}{52}
282\bibcite{Lipari:1991ut}{53}
283\bibcite{Gonzalez-Garcia:2004wg}{54}
284\bibcite{Burguet-Castell:2001ez}{55}
285\bibcite{Minakata:2001qm}{56}
286\bibcite{Fogli:1996pv}{57}
287\bibcite{Barger:2001yr}{58}
288\bibcite{Yasuda:2004gu}{59}
289\bibcite{Ishitsuka:2005qi}{60}
290\bibcite{Antusch:2004yx}{61}
291\bibcite{Minakata:2004pg}{62}
292\bibcite{Donini:2005db}{63}
293\bibcite{Peres:2003wd}{64}
294\bibcite{Gonzalez-Garcia:2004cu}{65}
295\bibcite{Petcov:1998su}{66}
296\bibcite{Akhmedov:1998ui}{67}
297\bibcite{Bernabeu:2003yp}{68}
298\bibcite{Kim:1998bv}{69}
299\bibcite{Kajita}{70}
300\bibcite{Petcov:2005rv}{71}
301\bibcite{MenaRequejo:2005hn}{72}
302\bibcite{Hagiwara:2005pe}{73}
303\bibcite{Kachelriess:2004vs}{74}
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